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Old Coin Prices and Trends…Your Guide to Buying Coins for Today!
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The Primary Purpose of the Coin Value Tables™ |
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The primary purpose of
the Coin Value Tables ™
is to provide coin buyers with historic value trends over
the last half century, in order to identify coins possessing the best
opportunity for solid future growth, while avoiding those with questionable potential.
This is not to say that rare coins should be viewed strictly as investment
vehicles, but if you enjoy numismatics and intend to make some purchases,
why not make selections destined to rise in value over time?
By reviewing value trend
data covering a period of many years, one can determine proven "track records"
and make smart purchase decisions. Look for coins with the most impressive
growth rates over long periods of time. These are the coins that will
command the highest prices from the coin collecting hobby in the years to come.
Hindsight is the clearest form of vision, and it is the most powerful tool
available.
Some examples on how to use the Coin Value Tables™for
locating blue chip coins are found on our
Bullish
US Coins page, which spotlights a few of the obvious winners.
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Rate of Return Computations |
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Compounded annual rate is a universal measure of
investment return. |
The Coin Value Tables™
contain many compounded annual return rate computations, to facilitate
comparisons from one coin to the next, measuring how much they change in value
over time. Compounded annual return rates, the typical yardstick for
measuring investment vehicles, are offered here and are from 1950 to the
present, 1980, 1995, and 2000 to the present.
Why were these years chosen
from which to measure compounded annual return rates? What follows is a
brief insight on why these periods were selected for analysis:
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As coin collecting popularity expanded in the
1950s, the Whitman coin folder was the faithful companion of the budding
numismatist. |
1950: More than
five decades ago, most of even the rarest collectible coins had not yet started
their ascent into the pricing stratosphere (after all, who today could imagine
purchasing an 1893-S Morgan silver dollar in VG for a mere $15.00?). Not
coincidentally, this is just about the time coin collecting started gaining appreciably in
popularity in the United States.
Thus, evaluating annual
growth since 1950 is a worthwhile endeavor because it is a reasonable "starting
point". What you will see is that coins held in the highest esteem by
collectors (i.e. "key dates") have easily outpaced their more mundane brethren
over the last half century, and will continue do do so. By comparing
compounded annual return rates since 1950, the most important coins sought by
numismatists are readily identified.
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GOLD
RECORD CLOSE: $850/oz
Jan 21, 1980 |
1980: The
precious metals boom of 1979-1980 simultaneously fueled a massive explosion in
coin prices. By the winter of 1980 the coin industry stood on an
unprecedented plateau. Since then, coin values have gone down and up
tremendously several times. Any coin weathering the wild roller coaster
ride since 1980 is certainly a fine acquisition.
1995: In 1995, coins were just starting to emerge from the shadows of a
severe slump that had spanned several years. Many observers cite as the
cause of the tailspin the issuance
of the
grading services initial population reports in the late 1980s (which
provided a better glimpse of the actual scarcity of collectible coins), followed
by speculators fleeing from coins. Since
1995, we've witnessed a steady, if not spectacular, rise in market conditions.
With the speculator debacle behind us, you can bet the price hikes since then
are supported by sound fundamentals. Coins that have appreciated nicely
since 1995 are likely valuable heirlooms you will be proud to pass on to your
grandchildren.
2000: With the advent of the 50 State Quarters program in 1999, the
number of active coin collectors surged. All of a sudden, individuals who
previously lacked interest in coins found themselves scouring through pocket
change looking for the newest state quarter.
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The widespread availability of the Internet has
accelerated the pace of the coin market during the 21st century. |
Later, many of them graduated to the rank of
numismatist when they discovered the thrill of owning collectible coins minted long
ago. With the added competition from new buyers, coin prices have risen
dramatically since the year 2000. Additionally, grading standards have
been tight and consistent, so we really are comparing "Apples to Apples" here.
Tracking performance of coins since 2000 is
useful, too, because during that time, the Internet made it increasingly easier
for average buyers and sellers to get together to consummate coin transactions.
Many of the coins that have risen sharply in value in the true supply and demand
environment we now enjoy demonstrate strong "grassroots" support with the
rank-and-file collector and bode well for continued growth.
Perhaps you prefer a different year for a baseline
comparison. Whatever time frame you choose, you're in luck here, because this
site features a flexible
Coin Rate of
Return Calculator, where readers are free to compute compounded annual return
rates for virtually any time period, for any coin they wish to analyze. It's easy and fun to use, and
yields great information! |
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A Word About Grading |
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Grading has always been central to numismatics,
but decades ago, the standards employed to grade coins were somewhat vague and
applied inconsistently. Over the last 20 years, great strides have been
made to bring more standardization to grading practices. Throughout it
all, the
magnifying lens has earned a reputation as one of the most important
tools the coin collector should invest in. |
Going back to the 1950s and
before, coin grading was limited to a few adjectival terms, such as Good,
Fine, Uncirculated, and Proof. Accordingly, numismatic references of those
times conformed to the same set of adjectives to approximate retail coin values.
Varying distinctions of
Uncirculated (today's equivalent of MS-60, MS-63, etc.) and Proof were
recognized in some advertisements and auction bills by employing modifying
descriptors such as "Gem Uncirculated" or "Choice Proof", for example.
However, with no clear point of reference or consistency on how the modifying
descriptors were invoked, most publishers resorted to listing values for only
one "Uncirculated" grade and one "Proof" grade.
In the late 1970s, as coin prices escalated dramatically, most notably for pristine, high
quality specimens, varying distinctions of "Uncirculated" and "Proof" became
evermore critical. Descriptors "Choice" and "Gem" were
replaced by numerically assigned grades, utilizing the newly developed 70 point
ANA scale,
based on a numeric system introduced by Dr. William Sheldon in the
1940s. Uncirculated coins were differentiated as MS-60, MS-65, or MS-70. A few
years later, grades MS-63 and MS-67 joined the fray. Although not applied
consistently (a situation that gave the coin business a black eye), the practice of assigning a numerical grade
to indicate quality was universal by the mid-1980s, and eventually brought some
consistency to coin collecting that was absent as the hobby passed through its
formative years.
The
Coin Value Tables™
reflect the historic availability of numeric grades to describe coins.
Thus, for 1950 through 1975, the values appearing in the MS-60 column should be viewed
as the "Uncirculated" listings of those years, since numeric grades
largely did not exist. Likewise, PF-65 corresponds to simple "Proof"
figures of the same time period, while G-4 corresponds to the "Good", VG-8
to "Very Good", and so forth. By 1980, when numeric grades were in
widespread use, the MS-60 column should be interpreted to indicate precisely
that. Other grades, MS-63 for example, made their debut on the
Coin Value Tables™
in 1980 or later, and are carried forward from that time to the present. As more
intermittent grades and qualifiers (e.g. "Dimpled" Morgan silver dollars) became
commonplace, they too were added to the
Coin Value Tables™.
One Caveat: Due to
shifting grade interpretations in the early 1980s, some coins that graded, say,
MS-65 in 1980, might be equivalent to today's MS-63. Bear this is mind as
you review the data. Still, important trends do surface, and are not
obscured by the grading problems of a quarter century ago. This statement
is especially true for coins in less than Uncirculated and Proof conditions.
More in-depth knowledge on
grading is presented on our
Grading Coins
section. There, you'll find a few thoughts on the importance of coin grading, a look at the ANA grading scale,
plus more. |
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How Was the Coin Value
Tables™ Data Researched? |
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The "Redbook" was one of many sources researched
for trends. In its earlier years, the popular reference was somewhat
sketchy by today's standards, as were all numismatic publications of those
times. |
Many of the old coin values
reported in the tables were researched from the vast holdings of the
American Numismatic Association library.
Reference materials include vintage advertisements, auction results, and a wide
variety of numismatic periodicals and other publications from decades ago.
Coin values of recent years
were researched through much the same method, utilizing, of course, newer
material. Data collection efforts for coin values of modern times were greatly
augmented by Internet availability.
In all cases, the prices
appearing in the
Coin Value Tables™
represent a compilation of data from these sources, in order to provide to our
readers the most accurate historical coin value trends possible. |
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