US Coin Blog: News and Updates

Mint Hint Coin Values Blog

The purpose of our US Coin Blog is to:

(1) Serve as a source of news about US coins, which includes the latest from the US Mint as well as major activities in the private sector.

(2) Keep you informed about changes to this website, as we are actively updating and adding new material of interest to US coin collectors.

(3) Periodically highlight rare U.S. coins with good potential for rising in value. If you're going to buy coins, might as well get something that's going to be worth more than you paid for it, right?








Jul 12, 2017

Rare Coin Values Index Stable Again in July 2017.

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The Rare Coin Value Index in 2017 continues to show about as much gusto as a four-year-old being forced to eat cauliflower. The Index rose a meager 0.32 points in July to 394.81. Is broccoli on the menu for August?

For the year, the Index is down just 2.17 points, so do not pull the Chicken Little costume out of the closet just yet. The year 2017 isn't much different from what we've seen since 2009, when the last big run for coins ended. Since then, the Index has gained less than 25 points, translating to less than one percent growth annually over that time.

Coin prices DO move in cycles. Although the Index charts the movements of 87 key date US coins every month since January 2000, we have data going back to 1950. Period of robust growth lasting for a few years were all followed by a longer cooling off interlude (sometimes initialized as ugly crashes, like we saw in the early 1980's and early 1990's).

It's now been eight years that coin values have been in a state of semi-dormancy (at least at the level where most of us ordinary collectors dwell. The stratosphere of numismatics -- think Pogue -- seem to be breaking price records left and right). All I can do is guess, but based on the timing of previous boom/bust cycles, it won't be much longer and we'll see the Index shatter the 400 point level, rocketing toward the 500 barrier.

The long term price trends of collectible coins is upward, most especially for key date coins. Someone recently mentioned to me that rare coins are not the best investment vehicles. I agree and it's wise advice never to put all your investment eggs in a numismatic basket.

The primary goal of my research is to help coin collectors figure out which coins have the best chance of increasing in value over a long period of time, if that is something that interests them. I think it's a fair statement that many, if not the majority, of collectors buy coins in the hope they'll someday be worth considerably more than what they paid for them.

Coins are a wonderful pastime, to be enjoyed for their history, beauty, and vast educational opportunities. An astute, well informed hobbyist can reap these benefits while simultaneously assembling a collection that also shines on the family balance sheet.

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Stable Again in July 2017."

Jun 15, 2017

Rare Coin Values Index Fails to Generate Momentum in June 2017

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The Rare Coin Value Index couldn't generate any positive momentum from the flat tire bounce it got in May. The June scores comes in at 394.48, down 0.50 points from last month.

Since September 2016, the Index has moved along in a very narrow band of 3.62 points, so there has not been much movement one way or the other for almost a year. Stability has mostly been the story for the Index since the Autumn of 2009, when the historic rare coin bull market of 2003-09 came to a halt.

Since October 2009, the Index has grained only 10.7%. Not so hot, when spread out over an eight year period. It's really not so bad, if one considers the long term record. Please continue reading.

US Coin Values Advisor has coin price data going back to 1950, researched from the library of the American Numismatic Association. There have been a number of market run ups, followed often by a dramatic collapse, as we saw in the early 1990's, for example.

Happily, a crash and burn did not happen when the bulls stopped stampeding in 2009. That's because the 2003-09 price run up was based on numismatic fundamentals (rarity, quality, demand). What occurred in previous price explosions is that speculative forces (not bedrock collectors) artificially drove the market to great heights by promoting overgraded, generic material. And then reality sunk in and the bottom fell out.

Historically, every bust has been followed by a boom. At some point, this market is going to take off again, with prices spiking everywhere. The 400 point Index ceiling will be shattered as we zoom toward 500. No one should be alarmed that prices have been flat for practically ten years now. Rather, it should be viewed as a buying opportunity.

As regular readers know, the Index tracks the price movements of 87 key date United States rare coins, then combines their overall performance to arrive at a composite score, in an effort to gauge the strength of the US rare coin market. The Index uses January 2000 as its baseline (i.e. the Index score that first month was 100.00).

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Fails to Generate Momentum in June 2017"

May 13, 2017

First Time in 2017: An UP Month for the Index

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So far in 2017, the Index movement has been reminiscent of a snail racing through a jar of molasses. IOW, very slow, and mostly sinking. May was the first positive month of the year for the Index, gaining 1.63 points to close at 394.99.

Since the end of 2016, the Index has fallen only 0.5%. That's one-half of one percent, folks. See what we mean about the snail and molasses?

Will we ever see another incredible rare coin market ala 2003-09? No one can say for sure, but keep this in mind: for as far back as we can find records, every stagnant or negative period of coin value trending has been followed by surge in prices (especially for key date coins). It is cyclical, as is just about everything related to money.

One thing rare coins has going for it that stocks and bonds don't is the joy of the pursuit. The coin hobbyist who delves into history, value trend research, while developing an eye for quality crosses into the realm of numismatist, and is well positioned to capitalize on inevitable price rallies.

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "First Time in 2017: An UP Month for the Index"

Apr 11, 2017

Rare Coin Values Index Did Something Not Seen Since 2009

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The year 2017 continues to show weakness. The year is now about 1/3rd over, and we still have not seen a winning month. The Index dipped another 1.55 points in April, closing at 393.36.

That's four consecutive months of losses for the Index. The last time that happened was May-August 2009, which marked the end of the great coin bull market of 2003-09.

No need to jump out of a tall building just yet. Losses so far in 2017 amount to 3.62 points, down less than 1% from December.

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Did Something Not Seen Since 2009"

Mar 09, 2017

Rare Coin Values Index Moves Down Again in March

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The year 2017 has started off weakly, posting slight losses in the first three months. The March Index score came in at 394.91, down 0.54 from February.

No drama here, but the Index has now posted losing numbers for three consecutive months. The last time this happened was August-October 2015.

IF, and that is a big IF, the Index falls again in April, it will mark the first time since May-August 2009 the Index lost in four consecutive months.

It should also be noted that the losses so far in 2017 COMBINED amount to only 2.07 points, or only about a 0.5% down from where the Index finished in 2016. A trend? Not hardly, more likely just statistical noise.

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Moves Down Again in March"

Feb 12, 2017

February is a Dwoner (but just barely) for Rare Coin Value Index

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The year 2017 started off on a weak note as the index fell 1.38 points in January to 395.60. That loss broke a six month winning streak for the Index, its longest since 2008.

The Index moved downward again in February, though by a tiny 0.15 points, to 395.45.

Nevertheless, it was a loss, and for the first time since December 2015-January 2016, the Index has registered a negative number in two consecutive months.

If your goal is to buy coins today with the expectation of seeing them gain in value over time, here are the basics: Buy properly graded, key date coins with long established records of demand from rank-and-file coin collectors. This does not mean any coin fitting this description will do nothing but go up in value all the time. To the contrary, some of them stumble a bit before resuming their normal pattern of higher prices. In fact, we have compiled a data-driven "Sleeper Report" highlighting rare US coins whosevalues have temporarily receded.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. All the information is available at no charge (but we hope you don't get too annoyed at the advertisements running on our site!).

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "February is a Dwoner (but just barely) for Rare Coin Value Index"

Feb 11, 2017

Morgan Dollar Value Trend Report Updated for 2017

Morgan Dollar Value Trend Report

The Morgan Dollar Value Trend Report has been updated for 2017.

The report shows how retail prices have changed since 1950 for individual dates of the Morgan Dollar series, across a wide spectrum of grades, ranging from Fine to Proof.

Collectors seeking to purchase Morgan Dollars with the best potential for future price appreciation will find this report a valuable tool. Most dates have demonstrated a lackluster performance, while a few key dates have found favor with coin buyers over a long period of time and have consequently enjoyed much more impressive gains.

The report includes a "Collector Index" score for every date and grade, making it very easy for you to spot "Blue Chipper" Morgan Dollars with the best track records and hence the best potential for the future. The "Collector Index" feature is something a little extra and is exclusive to our downloadable PDF reports.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. In addition to Morgan Dollars, many other popular US coin groups are analyzed. All the information is available at no charge, other than the PDF reports (please excuse the somewhat annoying ads, but they do help pay the bills!).

Continue reading "Morgan Dollar Value Trend Report Updated for 2017"

Jan 26, 2017

Coin Value Tables Updated for 2017

US Coin Values Advisor is pleased to announce Value Trend Tables for the following coin groups have been updated for 2017:

These tables report how retail prices have changed over a long period of time for nearly every date in the group, over a wide spectrum of grades.

This data is especially helpful for collectors seeking to select dates with the best potential for future price increases. Dates that have done well over a long period of time are also the same coins with the best odds of continued price advancements.

You can check out all the coin groups for which we've published Value Trend Tables for by visiting HERE. Many of the groups most popular with coin collectors are represented. All data is available online at no charge. A sample table is partially pictured below:

US Coin Values Advisor Coin Value Table


Continue reading "Coin Value Tables Updated for 2017"

Jan 14, 2017

Rare Coin Values Index Gets Begins 2017 in Negative Fashion

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The year 2017 started off with a whimper, as the index fell 1.38 points to 395.60. The loss broke a six month winning streak for the Index, its longest since 2008.

Thus, the 400 milestone is safe for another month.

A survey conducted by Professional Numismatists Guild suggests United States coin market activity (not including bullion or US Mint sales) totaled more than $4 billion in 2016, with some weakness (compared to 2014-15) detected at coins valued at the $100K altitude and above.

The Rare Coin Values Index attempts to gauge the environment where more ordinary collectors dwell, and from our vantage point, interest in rare coins remains consistent, at the least. The Index registered positive in 10 out of 12 months in 2016, albeit all gains were modest.

That 2017 began on a negative note, in no way portends a downward trend. Let's see how things look in a couple of months.

If your goal is to buy coins today with the expectation of seeing them gain in value over time, here are the basics: Buy properly graded, key date coins with long established records of demand from rank-and-file coin collectors. This does not mean any coin fitting this description will do nothing but go up in value all the time. To the contrary, some of them stumble a bit before resuming their normal pattern of higher prices. In fact, we have compiled a data-driven "Sleeper Report" highlighting rare US coins whosevalues have temporarily receded.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. All the information is available at no charge (but we hope you don't get too annoyed at the advertisements running on our site!).

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Gets Begins 2017 in Negative Fashion"

Dec 11, 2016

Rare Coin Values Index Closes Out 2016 at Another New Record High

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In December 2016, the Rare Coin Values Index extended its monthly winning streak to six, rising 1.09 points to finish the year at 396.98.

The last time the Index gained in six consecutive months was Feb-Jul 2008, when US rare coins were nearing the end of strong bull market that began in early 2003.

The year 2016 was steady for rare coins, but not spectacular, despite gaining in 10 out of 12 months. As we entered 2016, the Index stood at 372.79, and gained 24.19 point through December, computing to an increase of 6.49% for the year. This is the best performance since 2011, when the Index rose 7.34%.

A completely unscientific supposition here: Most numismatic professionals prefer a slow, methodical upward pace, compared to a mad dash fueled by speculative forces. As we saw in the 1980s and 1990s, extreme price surges based on non-fundamental numismatics end in crashes, devastating to hobbyists and investors alike.

We anticipate 2017 to be similar to 2016, as ordinary collectors continue to form the foundation of US collectible coin buying activity.

If your goal is to buy coins today with the expectation of seeing them gain in value over time, here are the basics: Buy properly graded, key date coins with long established records of demand from rank-and-file coin collectors. This does not mean any coin fitting this description will do nothing but go up in value all the time. To the contrary, some of them stumble a bit before resuming their normal pattern of higher prices. In fact, we have compiled a data-driven "Sleeper Report" highlighting rare US coins whosevalues have temporarily receded.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. All the information is available at no charge (but we hope you don't get too annoyed at the advertisements running on our site!).

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Closes Out 2016 at Another New Record High"

Nov 12, 2016

Nov 2016: Rare Coin Values Index Inches Higher into Record Territory

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Nothing dramatic here, but the Rare Coin Values Index once again inched forward into record territory in November 2016. The Index now sits at 395.89, surpassing October's all time high of 395.06 by 0.83.

This is the fifth consecutive month of moving higher for the Index, a winning streak not seen since Feb-Jul of 2008, when the Index reeled off six consecutive wins. Steady as she goes!

One characteristic of rare United States coins is that they do not fluctuate rapidly in value, as do other markets (e.g. stock market, oil, grain). Price movements tend to be stable, with a solid upward trend, especially if viewed from a long term lens.

There is no secret on how to ride the rising tide of rare coins, but it is amazing how many aspirants show up at the wrong pier. If your goal is to buy coins today with the expectation of seeing them gain in value over time, here is what you need to know in a nutshell: Buy properly graded, key date coins with long established records of demand from rank-and-file coin collectors.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. All the information is available at no charge (but we hope you don't get too annoyed at the advertisements running on our site!).

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Nov 2016: Rare Coin Values Index Inches Higher into Record Territory"

Oct 09, 2016

Oct 2016: Rare Coin Values Index Moves Higher Into Record Territory

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The month of October 2016 saw the Index move deeper into record territory. After setting a new all time high in September, the Index gained 0.69 points in October to settle at 395.06.

In 2016, the Index has increased by 22.27 points thus far, representing a 5.97% increase since the beginning of the year. We're on pace for the best year since 2011, when the Index rose 7.34%.

One characteristic of rare United States coins is that they do not fluctuate rapidly in value, as do other markets (e.g. stock market, oil, grain). Price movements tend to be stable, with a solid upward trend, especially if viewed from a long term lens.

There is no secret on how to ride the rising tide of rare coins, but it is amazing how many aspirants show up at the wrong pier. If your goal is to buy coins today with the expectation of seeing them gain in value over time, here is what you need to know in a nutshell: Buy properly graded, key date coins with long established records of demand from rank-and-file coin collectors.

Our website, US Coin Values Advisor, contains a great deal of historical pricing information to assist coin enthusiasts with an eye toward the future in making their purchasing decisions. All the information is available at no charge (but we hope you don't get too annoyed at the advertisements running on our site!).

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.

Continue reading "Oct 2016: Rare Coin Values Index Moves Higher Into Record Territory"

Sep 11, 2016

NEW RECORD HIGH for Rare Coin Values Index

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After coming tantalizingly close over the last few months, the Rare Coin Values Index finally broke into record territory in September 2016, reaching an all time high of 394.37. The previous high occurred in July 2014, when the Index climbed to 389.48.

Continued strength in U.S. gold coins has propelled the Index to new heights, rising 5.53% since October 2015, when it weighed in at 373.67.

This has not been a meteoric rise to record levels. Rather, the new high was achieved methodically by rank-and-file coin collectors doing what they've always done: chase after coins of significant rarity. Demand, coupled with rarity, equals higher prices over the long term.

This is not to say all rare date US coins have participated in the ongoing active market. To the contrary, a few of the old reliables have taken a back seat lately and are currently rated as bargain buys at this time. I should know, as I have researched key date value trends and identified a few dozen Sleeper Coins matching this description. A few years from now, they'll arise from their slumber and carry the market on their shoulders, just as they have done at various intervals in the past.

The Rare Coin Value Index is based on the combined percent change in retail prices for 87 rare United States coins and is updated monthly.



Continue reading "NEW RECORD HIGH for Rare Coin Values Index"

Aug 10, 2016

Rare Coin Values Index Inches Higher in Aug 2016

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In Aug 2016, the Rare Coin Values Index reads 389.28, up 0.32 points from July, just 0.21 points short of its all-time high of 389.48, coming in July 2014.

As we head into the eighth month of 2016, the Index has climbed 16.48 points for the year, rising 4.42%. At this rate of improvement, the end of year increase would put us at about 7.5% for 2016.

Although price advancements have taken on a methodical cadence, there is no feeding frenzy bull market underway, where non-collectors are pouring investment dollars into rare coins, speculating in hope for fairy tale returns. We saw this scenario unfold in the late 1980's and early 1990's, when even Wall Street firms joined in the fray.

That boom was built upon a shaky foundation of fundamentals, and came crashing down, just as experienced numismatists predicted.

What's fueling this gentle ascendancy of US coins is the bedrock collector, in competitive pursuit of rare date coins. As the data on our site, US Coin Values Advisor demonstrates, properly graded, rare date coins sought after by generations of collectors have a solid record of price appreciation. All of our information is available to researchers at no charge.



Continue reading "Rare Coin Values Index Inches Higher in Aug 2016"

May 22, 2016

Sleeper Coin Report Released

Sleeper Coin Report

For those who may not be familiar with the term "Sleeper coin", think of it as a highly collectible, rare coin being sold temporarily at a bargain price, generally due to normal fluctuations in supply and demand. Sooner or later, it will reassert itself and jump in price, but at the moment, it is being sold for less than what it normally does.

The problem most Sleeper coin seekers run into is how do they know when they've found a coin temporarily depressed in selling price? Without value trend data from the past, the selling price of today cannot be put into historical context.

Because I have many years of numismatic value trend research under my belt, I can recognize a Sleeper coin when I see one. That's why I've produced the Sleeper Coin Report. With this data, collectors can save hundreds, if not thousands of dollars in their quest to add quality dates to their numismatic holdings.

To learn more about the Sleeper Coin Report, click the link below and visit the info page on my site, US Coin Values Advisor, where you can get more details and see a sample Sleeper Coin chart and supporting data.

Continue reading "Sleeper Coin Report Released"

Apr 13, 2016

Best Back-to-Back Months since 2011 for Rare Coin Values Index

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The April 2016 Rare Coin Value Index rose to 385.25, an improvement of 5.17 points from March. The Index currently has a three month winning streak, the first since 2013. March and April 2016 have been exceptionally solid, the best back-to-back monthly performance since late 2011.

The Index has gained 12.46 points in 2016 thus far, completely erasing the loss of almost 12 points in 2015. The upward momentum in 2016 has been led by gold coin price hikes.

Even when the US rare coin market is down, it never plunges catastrophically (as the Dow or oil has been known to do), due to a solid base of collectors competing for a fixed quantity supply. Over a long period of time, properly graded, key date United States coins have a record of solid price increases. The data on this site, US Coin Values Advisor, bears this out.

The Rare Coin Values Index is based on the price movements of 87 United States coins viewed as key dates by rank-and-file collectors, using January 2000 as its baseline. The purpose of charting the Index is to visualize the direction and intensity of the U.S. rare coin market.

Continue reading "Best Back-to-Back Months since 2011 for Rare Coin Values Index"

Feb 20, 2016

US Coin Values Advisor Blog Archive

If you wish to see our blog entries from 2015 and earlier, they are available. Clink link below to go to our blog archive page:

Continue reading "US Coin Values Advisor Blog Archive"



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